Atlanta Dream 85, New York Liberty 83
WNBA · 2026-10-09 · Winner: Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream defeated New York Liberty 85–83 on 2026-10-09 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:55 swung win probability 86% → 16%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New York Liberty lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 25 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 85 |
| New York Liberty | 18 | 21 | 29 | 15 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:55 swung win probability 86% → 16%.
Why New York Liberty lost
- Lost Q1 18-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 8:21 (win probability 52% → 6% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q1 7:19 | 67% → 36% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q1 3:02 | 59% → 27% |
| Atlanta Dream | 11–0 | Q3 8:21 | 52% → 6% |
| New York Liberty | 10–0 | Q3 5:43 | 6% → 44% |
| Atlanta Dream | 9–0 | Q4 4:55 | 86% → 16% |