Las Vegas Aces 89, Indiana Fever 99
WNBA · 2026-09-29 · Winner: Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever defeated Las Vegas Aces 99–89 on 2026-09-29 in WNBA play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:17 swung win probability 52% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Las Vegas Aces lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 26 | 17 | 17 | 29 | 89 |
| Indiana Fever | 18 | 30 | 24 | 27 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:17 swung win probability 52% → 86%.
Why Las Vegas Aces lost
- Lost Q2 17-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 5:25 (win probability 14% → 48% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 8–0 | Q2 9:40 | 45% → 15% |
| Indiana Fever | 9–0 | Q2 5:25 | 14% → 48% |
| Indiana Fever | 8–0 | Q2 1:17 | 52% → 86% |
| Indiana Fever | 9–0 | Q3 1:05 | 87% → 100% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 10–0 | Q4 7:34 | 100% → 78% |