Minnesota Lynx 76, Phoenix Mercury 84
WNBA · 2025-09-26 · Winner: Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury defeated Minnesota Lynx 84–76 on 2025-09-26 in WNBA play, a 8-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:11 swung win probability 15% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Minnesota Lynx lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 22 | 22 | 23 | 9 | 76 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 29 | 15 | 21 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:11 swung win probability 15% → 78%.
Why Minnesota Lynx lost
- Lost Q4 9-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 4:34 (win probability 39% → 79% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q1 1:59 | 70% → 37% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q2 4:34 | 39% → 79% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q4 7:11 | 15% → 78% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q4 0:21 | 39% → 100% |