Phoenix Mercury 89, Minnesota Lynx 83
WNBA · 2025-09-23 · Winner: Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury defeated Minnesota Lynx 89–83 on 2025-09-23 in WNBA play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 1:47 swung win probability 81% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Minnesota Lynx lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 10 | 89 |
| Minnesota Lynx | 21 | 27 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 1:47 swung win probability 81% → 0%.
Why Minnesota Lynx lost
- Lost Q3 14-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 3:00 (win probability 100% → 90% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q2 8:29 | 59% → 85% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 12–0 | Q3 3:00 | 100% → 90% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | OT 1:47 | 81% → 0% |