Las Vegas Aces 97, Phoenix Mercury 86
WNBA · 2025-10-10 · Winner: Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces defeated Phoenix Mercury 97–86 on 2025-10-10 in WNBA play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:35 swung win probability 18% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 30 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 97 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 21 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:35 swung win probability 18% → 2%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q1 21-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 7:35 (win probability 18% → 2% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 9–0 | Q2 7:35 | 18% → 2% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q4 7:58 | 1% → 12% |