Phoenix Mercury 69, Minnesota Lynx 82
WNBA · 2025-09-21 · Winner: Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx defeated Phoenix Mercury 82–69 on 2025-09-21 in WNBA play, a 13-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:29 swung win probability 17% → 62%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 24 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 69 |
| Minnesota Lynx | 22 | 18 | 19 | 23 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:29 swung win probability 17% → 62%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q4 10-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 1:30 (win probability 64% → 100% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q2 1:25 | 52% → 16% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q3 2:29 | 17% → 62% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 12–0 | Q4 1:30 | 64% → 100% |