Las Vegas Aces 90, Phoenix Mercury 88
WNBA · 2025-10-08 · Winner: Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces defeated Phoenix Mercury 90–88 on 2025-10-08 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 17-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:48 swung win probability 73% → 13%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 26 | 29 | 21 | 14 | 90 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 23 | 20 | 16 | 29 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:48 swung win probability 73% → 13%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q2 20-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q1 3:48 (win probability 73% → 13% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 17–0 | Q1 3:48 | 73% → 13% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 13–0 | Q1 1:34 | 13% → 58% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 9–0 | Q2 0:51 | 42% → 8% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q4 3:06 | 0% → 39% |