Phoenix Mercury 78, Las Vegas Aces 91
WNBA · 2025-10-05 · Winner: Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces defeated Phoenix Mercury 91–78 on 2025-10-05 in WNBA play, a 13-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:19 swung win probability 30% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 27 | 10 | 24 | 17 | 78 |
| Las Vegas Aces | 24 | 22 | 30 | 15 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:19 swung win probability 30% → 79%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q2 10-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 4:19 (win probability 30% → 79% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 10–0 | Q1 3:17 | 27% → 66% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 10–0 | Q2 8:01 | 70% → 26% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 11–0 | Q2 4:19 | 30% → 79% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 8–0 | Q3 9:26 | 71% → 96% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 9–0 | Q4 8:44 | 100% → 100% |