Minnesota Lynx 95, New York Liberty 93
WNBA · 2024-10-10 · Winner: Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx defeated New York Liberty 95–93 on 2024-10-10 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:05 swung win probability 99% → 43%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New York Liberty lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 19 | 17 | 25 | 23 | 11 | 95 |
| New York Liberty | 32 | 12 | 24 | 16 | 9 | 93 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:05 swung win probability 99% → 43%.
Why New York Liberty lost
- Lost Q4 16-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 0:05 (win probability 99% → 43% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | 9–0 | Q1 6:13 | 60% → 86% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 10–0 | Q2 2:22 | 98% → 84% |
| New York Liberty | 8–0 | Q4 6:55 | 79% → 99% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 12–0 | Q4 0:05 | 99% → 43% |