Phoenix Mercury 95, Minnesota Lynx 102
WNBA · 2024-09-22 · Winner: Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx defeated Phoenix Mercury 102–95 on 2024-09-22 in WNBA play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:22 swung win probability 36% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 95 |
| Minnesota Lynx | 32 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 102 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:22 swung win probability 36% → 100%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q1 19-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q1 3:22 (win probability 63% → 96% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 14–0 | Q1 3:22 | 63% → 96% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q3 2:22 | 99% → 84% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 9–0 | Q4 0:22 | 36% → 100% |