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Atlanta Dream 99, Phoenix Mercury 89

WNBA · 2026-08-22 · Winner: Atlanta Dream

Atlanta Dream defeated Phoenix Mercury 99–89 on 2026-08-22 in WNBA play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:59 swung win probability 26% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Dream2921232699
Phoenix Mercury1817332189

Win probability

Phoenix Mercury win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Phoenix Mercury) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:59 swung win probability 26% → 4%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Atlanta Dream8–0Q2 2:5926% → 4%

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