Connecticut Sun 78, Las Vegas Aces 101
WNBA · 2026-08-20 · Winner: Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces defeated Connecticut Sun 101–78 on 2026-08-20 in WNBA play, a 23-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:58 swung win probability 45% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Connecticut Sun lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 24 | 23 | 16 | 15 | 78 |
| Las Vegas Aces | 25 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 101 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:58 swung win probability 45% → 99%.
Why Connecticut Sun lost
- Lost Q3 16-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q3 4:58 (win probability 45% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 10–0 | Q2 9:29 | 88% → 54% |
| Connecticut Sun | 10–0 | Q3 9:39 | 89% → 46% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 16–0 | Q3 4:58 | 45% → 99% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 12–0 | Q4 7:24 | 98% → 100% |