Indiana Fever 95, Atlanta Dream 91
WNBA · 2026-08-16 · Winner: Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever defeated Atlanta Dream 95–91 on 2026-08-16 in WNBA play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 2:21 swung win probability 74% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Atlanta Dream lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 21 | 19 | 24 | 17 | 14 | 95 |
| Atlanta Dream | 21 | 23 | 28 | 9 | 10 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 2:21 swung win probability 74% → 1%.
Why Atlanta Dream lost
- Lost Q4 9-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 5:35 (win probability 67% → 30% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 10–0 | Q1 5:35 | 67% → 30% |
| Indiana Fever | 8–0 | Q2 4:42 | 54% → 21% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q2 2:28 | 21% → 53% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q3 9:41 | 48% → 82% |
| Indiana Fever | 8–0 | OT 2:21 | 74% → 1% |