Portland Fire 88, Phoenix Mercury 85
WNBA · 2026-08-16 · Winner: Portland Fire
Portland Fire defeated Phoenix Mercury 88–85 on 2026-08-16 in WNBA play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:52 swung win probability 78% → 44%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Fire | 18 | 18 | 25 | 27 | 88 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 22 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:52 swung win probability 78% → 44%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q4 21-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 5:52 (win probability 78% → 44% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Fire | 8–0 | Q2 5:52 | 78% → 44% |