Minnesota Lynx 92, Las Vegas Aces 87
WNBA · 2026-08-15 · Winner: Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx defeated Las Vegas Aces 92–87 on 2026-08-15 in WNBA play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:27 swung win probability 4% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Las Vegas Aces lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 23 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 92 |
| Las Vegas Aces | 19 | 29 | 16 | 23 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:27 swung win probability 4% → 45%.
Why Las Vegas Aces lost
- Lost Q3 16-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 5:48 (win probability 45% → 8% for the home side).
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 8–0 | Q2 6:09 | 31% → 67% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q3 5:48 | 45% → 8% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q3 0:03 | 41% → 4% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 9–0 | Q4 7:27 | 4% → 45% |