Phoenix Mercury 75, Washington Mystics 95
WNBA · 2026-08-09 · Winner: Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics defeated Phoenix Mercury 95–75 on 2026-08-09 in WNBA play, a 20-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:52 swung win probability 62% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 20 | 17 | 14 | 24 | 75 |
| Washington Mystics | 21 | 29 | 23 | 22 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:52 swung win probability 62% → 91%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q2 17-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 7:15 (win probability 95% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 9–0 | Q2 7:52 | 62% → 91% |
| Washington Mystics | 8–0 | Q2 1:00 | 83% → 98% |
| Washington Mystics | 14–0 | Q3 7:15 | 95% → 100% |