Phoenix Mercury 72, Connecticut Sun 75
WNBA · 2026-08-07 · Winner: Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun defeated Phoenix Mercury 75–72 on 2026-08-07 in WNBA play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:11 swung win probability 12% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 27 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 72 |
| Connecticut Sun | 18 | 14 | 17 | 26 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:11 swung win probability 12% → 84%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q3 9-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 1:30 (win probability 4% → 19% for the home side).
- Shot 43.4% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q2 3:37 | 28% → 4% |
| Connecticut Sun | 8–0 | Q2 1:30 | 4% → 19% |
| Connecticut Sun | 8–0 | Q3 5:01 | 14% → 50% |
| Connecticut Sun | 8–0 | Q4 4:11 | 12% → 84% |