Phoenix Mercury 82, Atlanta Dream 96
WNBA · 2026-08-05 · Winner: Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream defeated Phoenix Mercury 96–82 on 2026-08-05 in WNBA play, a 14-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:51 swung win probability 81% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 24 | 23 | 19 | 16 | 82 |
| Atlanta Dream | 33 | 21 | 27 | 15 | 96 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:51 swung win probability 81% → 99%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q1 24-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 4:51 (win probability 81% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 46.1% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q2 7:38 | 84% → 97% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q2 6:25 | 97% → 85% |
| Atlanta Dream | 10–0 | Q3 4:51 | 81% → 99% |