Golden State Valkyries 89, Phoenix Mercury 91
WNBA · 2026-07-29 · Winner: Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury defeated Golden State Valkyries 91–89 on 2026-07-29 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:11 swung win probability 4% → 73%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Golden State Valkyries lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | 18 | 28 | 20 | 23 | 89 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 21 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:11 swung win probability 4% → 73%.
Why Golden State Valkyries lost
- Lost Q4 23-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 0:36 (win probability 46% → 86% for the home side).
- Outscored 32-15 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 11–0 | Q1 0:36 | 46% → 86% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 8–0 | Q2 2:50 | 82% → 47% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 10–0 | Q2 0:38 | 52% → 10% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q3 0:10 | 2% → 26% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 11–0 | Q4 5:11 | 4% → 73% |