Las Vegas Aces 99, Washington Mystics 100
WNBA · 2026-07-22 · Winner: Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics defeated Las Vegas Aces 100–99 on 2026-07-22 in WNBA play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:53 swung win probability 45% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Las Vegas Aces lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 22 | 23 | 33 | 21 | 99 |
| Washington Mystics | 21 | 25 | 25 | 29 | 100 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:53 swung win probability 45% → 81%.
Why Las Vegas Aces lost
- Lost Q4 21-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 7:53 (win probability 45% → 81% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 9–0 | Q2 7:53 | 45% → 81% |
| Washington Mystics | 8–0 | Q4 2:25 | 0% → 36% |