Phoenix Mercury 100, Minnesota Lynx 104
WNBA · 2026-07-13 · Winner: Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx defeated Phoenix Mercury 104–100 on 2026-07-13 in WNBA play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 8:46 swung win probability 80% → 30%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 27 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 100 |
| Minnesota Lynx | 21 | 29 | 19 | 35 | 104 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 8:46 swung win probability 80% → 30%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q4 25-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 10–0 | Q3 8:46 | 80% → 30% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q3 3:51 | 62% → 16% |