Phoenix Mercury 58, Las Vegas Aces 106
WNBA · 2026-07-11 · Winner: Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces defeated Phoenix Mercury 106–58 on 2026-07-11 in WNBA play, a 48-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:40 swung win probability 96% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 9 | 13 | 14 | 22 | 58 |
| Las Vegas Aces | 29 | 28 | 22 | 27 | 106 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:40 swung win probability 96% → 100%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q1 9-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 0:39 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-9.
- Outscored 14-5 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-3.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 8–0 | Q2 9:40 | 96% → 100% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 9–0 | Q2 0:39 | 100% → 100% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 8–0 | Q4 6:48 | 100% → 100% |