New York Liberty 85, Minnesota Lynx 90
WNBA · 2026-07-11 · Winner: Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx defeated New York Liberty 90–85 on 2026-07-11 in WNBA play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:36 swung win probability 28% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New York Liberty lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | 13 | 19 | 30 | 23 | 85 |
| Minnesota Lynx | 17 | 25 | 19 | 29 | 90 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:36 swung win probability 28% → 95%.
Why New York Liberty lost
- Lost Q2 19-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 5:36 (win probability 28% → 95% for the home side).
- Outscored 18-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q1 1:46 | 34% → 66% |
| New York Liberty | 8–0 | Q2 0:08 | 98% → 87% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q3 5:41 | 88% → 99% |
| New York Liberty | 13–0 | Q3 2:07 | 99% → 68% |
| New York Liberty | 8–0 | Q3 0:27 | 80% → 26% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 9–0 | Q4 5:36 | 28% → 95% |