Indiana Fever 92, Phoenix Mercury 89
WNBA · 2026-07-09 · Winner: Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever defeated Phoenix Mercury 92–89 on 2026-07-09 in WNBA play, a 3-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:36 swung win probability 28% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 28 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 92 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 24 | 29 | 15 | 21 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:36 swung win probability 28% → 100%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q3 15-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 4:00 (win probability 95% → 37% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 9–0 | Q1 5:59 | 66% → 32% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 11–0 | Q3 9:22 | 42% → 90% |
| Indiana Fever | 13–0 | Q3 4:00 | 95% → 37% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 14–0 | Q4 5:36 | 28% → 100% |
| Indiana Fever | 11–0 | Q4 3:14 | 100% → 39% |