Minnesota Lynx 86, New York Liberty 99
WNBA · 2026-07-03 · Winner: New York Liberty
New York Liberty defeated Minnesota Lynx 99–86 on 2026-07-03 in WNBA play, a 13-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:20 swung win probability 52% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Minnesota Lynx lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 22 | 27 | 16 | 21 | 86 |
| New York Liberty | 26 | 33 | 19 | 21 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:20 swung win probability 52% → 89%.
Why Minnesota Lynx lost
- Lost Q2 27-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 1:20 (win probability 52% → 89% for the home side).
- Shot 45.9% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 17-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q1 0:28 | 93% → 74% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q2 6:19 | 87% → 58% |
| New York Liberty | 9–0 | Q2 1:20 | 52% → 89% |
| New York Liberty | 9–0 | Q3 7:45 | 83% → 99% |