Atlanta Dream 76, Washington Mystics 81
WNBA · 2026-07-02 · Winner: Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics defeated Atlanta Dream 81–76 on 2026-07-02 in WNBA play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:28 swung win probability 13% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Atlanta Dream lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 22 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 76 |
| Washington Mystics | 23 | 9 | 24 | 25 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:28 swung win probability 13% → 72%.
Why Atlanta Dream lost
- Lost Q4 16-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 6:28 (win probability 13% → 72% for the home side).
- Shot 40.6% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q1 7:57 | 73% → 44% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q2 7:16 | 62% → 27% |
| Washington Mystics | 8–0 | Q4 6:28 | 13% → 72% |