Phoenix Mercury 77, Indiana Fever 86
WNBA · 2026-06-22 · Winner: Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever defeated Phoenix Mercury 86–77 on 2026-06-22 in WNBA play, a 9-point result. A 19-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:11 swung win probability 70% → 6%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 22 | 11 | 25 | 77 |
| Indiana Fever | 6 | 35 | 30 | 15 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 19-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:11 swung win probability 70% → 6%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q3 11-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 8:31 (win probability 6% → 36% for the home side).
- Shot 44.9% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 19–0 | Q1 0:11 | 70% → 6% |
| Indiana Fever | 11–0 | Q2 8:31 | 6% → 36% |
| Indiana Fever | 10–0 | Q3 8:44 | 46% → 90% |
| Indiana Fever | 9–0 | Q3 0:30 | 98% → 100% |