Phoenix Mercury 80, Atlanta Dream 82
WNBA · 2026-05-24 · Winner: Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream defeated Phoenix Mercury 82–80 on 2026-05-24 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:24 swung win probability 0% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 25 | 19 | 13 | 23 | 80 |
| Atlanta Dream | 13 | 24 | 12 | 33 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:24 swung win probability 0% → 100%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q4 23-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q4 0:24 (win probability 0% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q1 5:09 | 51% → 18% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q2 7:21 | 7% → 27% |
| Atlanta Dream | 13–0 | Q4 0:24 | 0% → 100% |