Washington Mystics 104, Indiana Fever 102
WNBA · 2026-05-15 · Winner: Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics defeated Indiana Fever 104–102 on 2026-05-15 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:51 swung win probability 5% → 62%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Indiana Fever lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 21 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 15 | 104 |
| Indiana Fever | 28 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 13 | 102 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:51 swung win probability 5% → 62%.
Why Indiana Fever lost
- Lost Q2 9-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 6:54 (win probability 87% → 37% for the home side).
- Shot 48.4% eFG vs a 56.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 22-13 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 8–0 | Q1 6:34 | 63% → 86% |
| Indiana Fever | 8–0 | Q1 3:26 | 76% → 93% |
| Washington Mystics | 14–0 | Q2 6:54 | 87% → 37% |
| Washington Mystics | 8–0 | Q3 7:40 | 48% → 14% |
| Washington Mystics | 9–0 | Q3 1:37 | 29% → 3% |
| Indiana Fever | 12–0 | Q4 6:51 | 5% → 62% |
| Washington Mystics | 8–0 | Q4 1:41 | 62% → 6% |