New York Liberty 96, Portland Fire 98
WNBA · 2026-05-12 · Winner: Portland Fire
Portland Fire defeated New York Liberty 98–96 on 2026-05-12 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:23 swung win probability 25% → 75%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New York Liberty lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | 27 | 27 | 23 | 19 | 96 |
| Portland Fire | 21 | 26 | 23 | 28 | 98 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:23 swung win probability 25% → 75%.
Why New York Liberty lost
- Lost Q4 19-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 6:23 (win probability 25% → 75% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-14.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | 8–0 | Q1 3:00 | 55% → 23% |
| Portland Fire | 12–0 | Q2 6:23 | 25% → 75% |
| New York Liberty | 9–0 | Q2 5:04 | 75% → 34% |
| New York Liberty | 8–0 | Q2 1:17 | 32% → 6% |
| Portland Fire | 10–0 | Q3 7:22 | 15% → 62% |