Minnesota Lynx 88, Phoenix Mercury 84
WNBA · 2026-05-12 · Winner: Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx defeated Phoenix Mercury 88–84 on 2026-05-12 in WNBA play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:13 swung win probability 87% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 19 | 22 | 27 | 20 | 88 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 20 | 25 | 22 | 17 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:13 swung win probability 87% → 0%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 0:13 (win probability 87% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 43.0% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q2 9:01 | 54% → 84% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q4 0:13 | 87% → 0% |