Phoenix Mercury 79, Golden State Valkyries 95
WNBA · 2026-05-10 · Winner: Golden State Valkyries
Golden State Valkyries defeated Phoenix Mercury 95–79 on 2026-05-10 in WNBA play, a 16-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:18 swung win probability 78% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 20 | 11 | 31 | 17 | 79 |
| Golden State Valkyries | 17 | 31 | 18 | 29 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:18 swung win probability 78% → 100%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q2 11-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 5:18 (win probability 78% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | 8–0 | Q2 2:39 | 92% → 99% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q3 8:07 | 100% → 93% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 10–0 | Q4 5:18 | 78% → 100% |