Phoenix Mercury 99, Las Vegas Aces 66
WNBA · 2026-05-09 · Winner: Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury defeated Las Vegas Aces 99–66 on 2026-05-09 in WNBA play, a 33-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:52 swung win probability 17% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Las Vegas Aces lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 27 | 29 | 27 | 16 | 99 |
| Las Vegas Aces | 21 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:52 swung win probability 17% → 2%.
Why Las Vegas Aces lost
- Lost Q3 10-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 0:13 (win probability 0% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 43.7% eFG vs a 55.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-8.
- Outscored 12-4 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q2 5:52 | 17% → 2% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 14–0 | Q3 0:13 | 0% → 0% |