Minnesota Lynx 73, Atlanta Dream 75
WNBA · 2025-08-21 · Winner: Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream defeated Minnesota Lynx 75–73 on 2025-08-21 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:05 swung win probability 15% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Minnesota Lynx lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 24 | 16 | 20 | 13 | 73 |
| Atlanta Dream | 25 | 17 | 12 | 21 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:05 swung win probability 15% → 94%.
Why Minnesota Lynx lost
- Lost Q4 13-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 9:20 (win probability 23% → 81% for the home side).
- Shot 47.9% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-12.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 15–0 | Q2 9:20 | 23% → 81% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q2 0:49 | 92% → 67% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 9–0 | Q3 0:55 | 82% → 27% |
| Atlanta Dream | 12–0 | Q4 6:05 | 15% → 94% |