Las Vegas Aces 86, Phoenix Mercury 83
WNBA · 2025-08-15 · Winner: Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces defeated Phoenix Mercury 86–83 on 2025-08-15 in WNBA play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 9:44 swung win probability 13% → 69%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 15 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 86 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 17 | 25 | 17 | 24 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 9:44 swung win probability 13% → 69%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 8:08 (win probability 72% → 29% for the home side).
- Outscored 22-11 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-7.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 8–0 | Q3 8:08 | 72% → 29% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q4 9:44 | 13% → 69% |