Atlanta Dream 74, Phoenix Mercury 66
WNBA · 2025-08-10 · Winner: Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream defeated Phoenix Mercury 74–66 on 2025-08-10 in WNBA play, a 8-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:25 swung win probability 50% → 3%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 24 | 15 | 14 | 21 | 74 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:25 swung win probability 50% → 3%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 5:25 (win probability 50% → 3% for the home side).
- Shot 39.1% eFG vs a 50.2% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q1 4:09 | 55% → 24% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q1 0:27 | 19% → 50% |
| Atlanta Dream | 15–0 | Q2 5:25 | 50% → 3% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 10–0 | Q3 8:11 | 11% → 51% |