Phoenix Mercury 101, Indiana Fever 107
WNBA · 2025-07-30 · Winner: Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever defeated Phoenix Mercury 107–101 on 2025-07-30 in WNBA play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:42 swung win probability 47% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 30 | 20 | 22 | 29 | 101 |
| Indiana Fever | 20 | 35 | 19 | 33 | 107 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:42 swung win probability 47% → 99%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q2 20-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 5:34 (win probability 20% → 71% for the home side).
- Outscored 32-22 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q1 3:42 | 51% → 21% |
| Indiana Fever | 12–0 | Q2 5:34 | 20% → 71% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q4 9:40 | 94% → 55% |
| Indiana Fever | 10–0 | Q4 6:42 | 47% → 99% |