Golden State Valkyries 77, Atlanta Dream 75
WNBA · 2025-07-29 · Winner: Golden State Valkyries
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream 77–75 on 2025-07-29 in WNBA play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 3:08 swung win probability 6% → 77%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Atlanta Dream lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | 20 | 19 | 30 | 8 | 77 |
| Atlanta Dream | 16 | 23 | 17 | 19 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 3:08 swung win probability 6% → 77%.
Why Atlanta Dream lost
- Lost Q3 17-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 2:41 (win probability 68% → 6% for the home side).
- Shot 46.1% eFG vs a 51.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | 11–0 | Q1 2:37 | 77% → 34% |
| Atlanta Dream | 9–0 | Q2 1:21 | 28% → 71% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 12–0 | Q3 2:41 | 68% → 6% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q4 7:56 | 1% → 17% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q4 3:08 | 6% → 77% |