Phoenix Mercury 66, Minnesota Lynx 79
WNBA · 2025-07-16 · Winner: Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx defeated Phoenix Mercury 79–66 on 2025-07-16 in WNBA play, a 13-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:53 swung win probability 59% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 10 | 23 | 16 | 17 | 66 |
| Minnesota Lynx | 21 | 16 | 27 | 15 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:53 swung win probability 59% → 86%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q1 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 5:02 (win probability 72% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 40.7% eFG vs a 50.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 8–0 | Q1 2:53 | 59% → 86% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 10–0 | Q3 5:02 | 72% → 99% |