Phoenix Mercury 78, Golden State Valkyries 77
WNBA · 2025-07-14 · Winner: Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury defeated Golden State Valkyries 78–77 on 2025-07-14 in WNBA play, a 1-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:04 swung win probability 34% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Golden State Valkyries lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 16 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 78 |
| Golden State Valkyries | 20 | 12 | 26 | 19 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:04 swung win probability 34% → 83%.
Why Golden State Valkyries lost
- Lost Q2 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 6:45 (win probability 67% → 22% for the home side).
- Shot 43.2% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 12–0 | Q1 6:45 | 67% → 22% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 13–0 | Q1 1:04 | 34% → 83% |