Minnesota Lynx 71, Phoenix Mercury 79
WNBA · 2025-07-09 · Winner: Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury defeated Minnesota Lynx 79–71 on 2025-07-09 in WNBA play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:30 swung win probability 24% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Minnesota Lynx lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 19 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 71 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 15 | 25 | 12 | 27 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:30 swung win probability 24% → 100%.
Why Minnesota Lynx lost
- Lost Q4 14-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 0:30 (win probability 24% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 47.1% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 10–0 | Q4 0:30 | 24% → 100% |