Las Vegas Aces 78, New York Liberty 87
WNBA · 2025-07-08 · Winner: New York Liberty
New York Liberty defeated Las Vegas Aces 87–78 on 2025-07-08 in WNBA play, a 9-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:36 swung win probability 32% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Las Vegas Aces lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 16 | 26 | 18 | 18 | 78 |
| New York Liberty | 19 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:36 swung win probability 32% → 100%.
Why Las Vegas Aces lost
- Lost Q4 18-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 2:36 (win probability 32% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-11.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | 8–0 | Q2 7:16 | 62% → 89% |
| New York Liberty | 10–0 | Q4 2:36 | 32% → 100% |