Golden State Valkyries 81, Atlanta Dream 90
WNBA · 2025-07-07 · Winner: Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries 90–81 on 2025-07-07 in WNBA play, a 9-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:22 swung win probability 26% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Golden State Valkyries lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | 26 | 19 | 23 | 13 | 81 |
| Atlanta Dream | 16 | 27 | 21 | 26 | 90 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:22 swung win probability 26% → 100%.
Why Golden State Valkyries lost
- Lost Q4 13-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 2:22 (win probability 26% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-11.
- Outscored 21-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | 8–0 | Q1 7:20 | 59% → 29% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q2 6:49 | 13% → 39% |
| Atlanta Dream | 8–0 | Q2 3:49 | 34% → 71% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 10–0 | Q3 9:28 | 83% → 35% |
| Atlanta Dream | 12–0 | Q4 2:22 | 26% → 100% |