Las Vegas Aces 84, Phoenix Mercury 80
WNBA · 2025-06-29 · Winner: Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces defeated Phoenix Mercury 84–80 on 2025-06-29 in WNBA play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:15 swung win probability 22% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Phoenix Mercury lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 15 | 25 | 19 | 25 | 84 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 21 | 19 | 10 | 30 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:15 swung win probability 22% → 86%.
Why Phoenix Mercury lost
- Lost Q3 10-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 6:39 (win probability 76% → 33% for the home side).
- Shot 45.1% eFG vs a 50.2% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 11–0 | Q1 4:07 | 51% → 88% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 8–0 | Q3 6:39 | 76% → 33% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q4 7:52 | 7% → 46% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q4 6:15 | 22% → 86% |