New York Liberty 91, Phoenix Mercury 106
WNBA · 2025-06-27 · Winner: Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury defeated New York Liberty 106–91 on 2025-06-27 in WNBA play, a 15-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:55 swung win probability 63% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New York Liberty lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | 19 | 24 | 27 | 21 | 91 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 28 | 33 | 27 | 18 | 106 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:55 swung win probability 63% → 90%.
Why New York Liberty lost
- Lost Q1 19-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 3:55 (win probability 63% → 90% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 9–0 | Q1 3:55 | 63% → 90% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8–0 | Q2 9:37 | 74% → 94% |
| New York Liberty | 8–0 | Q2 4:00 | 98% → 85% |