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Phoenix Mercury 76, Las Vegas Aces 70

WNBA · 2025-06-15 · Winner: Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix Mercury defeated Las Vegas Aces 76–70 on 2025-06-15 in WNBA play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:34 swung win probability 4% → 36%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Las Vegas Aces lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Mercury2023171676
Las Vegas Aces2019151670

Win probability

Las Vegas Aces win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Las Vegas Aces) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:34 swung win probability 4% → 36%.
Why Las Vegas Aces lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Las Vegas Aces9–0Q4 8:344% → 36%

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