Virginia State Trojans 55, Old Dominion Monarchs 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: Old Dominion Monarchs
Old Dominion Monarchs defeated Virginia State Trojans 69–55 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:53 swung win probability 69% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia State Trojans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia State Trojans | 9 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 55 |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 16 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:53 swung win probability 69% → 90%.
Why Virginia State Trojans lost
- Lost Q1 9-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 2:26 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 33.3% eFG vs a 40.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 8–0 | Q1 6:53 | 69% → 90% |
| Virginia State Trojans | 8–0 | Q3 9:32 | 99% → 90% |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 9–0 | Q4 2:26 | 100% → 100% |
| Virginia State Trojans | 8–0 | Q4 0:07 | 100% → 100% |