Georgia State Panthers 81, Buffalo Bulls 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Buffalo Bulls
Buffalo Bulls defeated Georgia State Panthers 82–81 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:36 swung win probability 99% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia State Panthers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 16 | 13 | 32 | 20 | 81 |
| Buffalo Bulls | 15 | 19 | 24 | 24 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:36 swung win probability 99% → 10%.
Why Georgia State Panthers lost
- Lost Q2 13-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 5:49 (win probability 52% → 82% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 9-4.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 8–0 | Q1 6:01 | 62% → 32% |
| Buffalo Bulls | 8–0 | Q2 5:49 | 52% → 82% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 10–0 | Q4 1:36 | 99% → 10% |