UC Merced Bobcats 32, Fresno State Bulldogs 94
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-04 · Winner: Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State Bulldogs defeated UC Merced Bobcats 94–32 on 2026-11-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 62-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:53 swung win probability 76% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Merced Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Merced Bobcats | 14 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 32 |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 36 | 20 | 23 | 15 | 94 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:53 swung win probability 76% → 93%.
Why UC Merced Bobcats lost
- Lost Q1 14-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 8:18 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 39-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 22-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q1 2:53 | 76% → 93% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 11–0 | Q1 0:28 | 90% → 99% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 12–0 | Q2 6:11 | 99% → 100% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 17–0 | Q3 8:18 | 100% → 100% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q4 6:44 | 100% → 100% |