Central Baptist Mustangs 12, Little Rock Trojans 108
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Little Rock Trojans
Little Rock Trojans defeated Central Baptist Mustangs 108–12 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 96-point result. A 23-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:51 swung win probability 86% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Baptist Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Baptist Mustangs | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| Little Rock Trojans | 28 | 24 | 25 | 31 | 108 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 23-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:51 swung win probability 86% → 100%.
Why Central Baptist Mustangs lost
- Lost Q4 0-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 50-0 run ending at Q4 0:27 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 33-4.
- Outscored 16-2 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 22-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | 23–0 | Q2 8:51 | 86% → 100% |
| Little Rock Trojans | 13–0 | Q2 3:08 | 100% → 100% |
| Little Rock Trojans | 50–0 | Q4 0:27 | 100% → 100% |